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As the stock market continues to display a concerning trend, many investors are feeling the impact of recent declines. Amid this downturn, it’s essential to recognise that market corrections are a natural part of investing and, with the right strategy, they can also present valuable opportunities. But first, let’s examine what has led to this situation. Stay tuned with Tradex.live, the best intraday trading platform in India.
The Current Market Landscape
We are witnessing a significant market correction, and it’s impossible to ignore the sharp declines across various sectors. The turmoil has been spurred by a multitude of factors: geopolitical tensions, the economic ripple effect of Trump’s tariffs, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) pulling out, and even deep-seated issues like the DeepSeek phenomenon. These elements, while contributing to the chaos, are not the sole cause of this correction.
Let’s be honest – this correction was inevitable. The valuation of many small and mid-cap stocks had been soaring to unsustainable heights, creating an environment where even seasoned investors might question whether they could continue without rethinking their strategies. The inflated stock prices of these companies were not rooted in real business fundamentals, and it was becoming increasingly difficult to justify such high valuations.
Here we are now: The Sensex is down by 12% from its 52-week high. Meanwhile, the smallcap indices are in a full-blown bear market, with declines of 22% from their December peak. This rapid drop has taken place over a mere two months.
One notable fund manager, fearing the continued volatility, has advised against making any further Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) contributions to small and mid-cap stocks, suggesting that such investments should only be considered if held for at least two decades. Some sources even report that he recommended investors pull out entirely from small and mid-cap sectors. While the merit of caution cannot be denied, I respectfully disagree with this outlook.
The Silver Lining in the Current Correction
It’s important to note that this correction is not a death sentence for the small and mid-cap sectors. In fact, many of these stocks have corrected far more than the broader market indices. In some cases, this has created opportunities to purchase shares at much lower prices than just a few weeks ago. Now, the market may still experience deeper corrections, and the current smallcap-to-Sensex ratio of 0.59 suggests that there is still a premium compared to the long-term median of 0.45. But even with this potential for further decline, now may still be a better time to invest in small and mid-caps than it was two months ago.
This market downturn presents an opportunity to strategically increase positions in high-potential small-cap stocks. Many stocks that have been on the watchlist of investors due to their strong fundamentals have now become even more affordable. This opens a window to acquire these companies at favourable prices, potentially setting the stage for impressive long-term returns.
However, as tempting as this may seem, it is essential to remember that price alone should not be the determining factor in your investment decisions. Simply buying stocks that have fallen to their 52-week lows is not always a wise strategy, as it overlooks the core health of the company itself. A stock may be cheap for a reason, and the next phase of the market may very well feature a different group of winners than the last cycle.
Focusing on Future Trajectories, Not Just Past Performance
One of the key points here is to focus on the future trajectory of a company’s business, rather than relying solely on how far its stock has fallen. It is easy to assume that past prices are an accurate reflection of a company’s true value, but this perspective can be misleading. Instead, investors should ask themselves: What does the business look like a few years down the road? How sustainable are its competitive advantages? These are the questions that will drive future success in the market.
It’s also wise to be cautious about the idea of blindly following market sentiment. While fear may be rampant, the true danger lies in ignoring the fundamentals of a company in favour of a quick rebound. Stock prices are volatile in the short term, but the value of a business is tied to its long-term growth prospects.
Where to Look for Opportunities
So, where should you start looking for opportunities in this market?
A powerful approach is to focus on insider buying. Promoters, who are essentially business owners, often have a clearer long-term vision for their companies. If they are purchasing shares during a correction, it could signal that they see value that the broader market has overlooked. Their decision to buy is often a sign that they believe their company’s prospects are stronger than the current stock price suggests.
Below is a list of companies where insiders have been active buyers in February 2025. Keep in mind that this is simply a watchlist – not a recommendation – but it serves as a useful reference for further research:
Stock Name | No. of Shares Bought | Value of Shares (Rs million) | Average Buy Price (Rs) | Closing Price (17th Feb) | Discount/Premium (%) |
Jindal Steel & Power | 6,171,357 | 4985 | 808 | 838 | 4% |
Quess Corp | 754,437 | 461 | 610 | 598 | -2% |
Maharashtra Seamless | 213,499 | 132 | 618 | 604 | -2% |
DB Corp | 383,579 | 88 | 229 | 213 | -7% |
Texmaco Rail | 500,025 | 82 | 165 | 137 | -17% |
Paisalo Digital | 1,681,903 | 69 | 41 | 40.4 | -2% |
Solara Active Pharma | 112,000 | 58 | 519 | 504 | -3% |
Mangalam Cement | 70,000 | 57 | 816 | 715 | -12% |
Texmaco Infra | 489,201 | 57 | 116 | 93 | -20% |
High Energy Batteries | 104,275 | 52 | 496 | 469 | -5% |
Tarc Ltd | 400,000 | 51 | 128 | 120 | -6% |
TGV Sraac | 342,589 | 34 | 99 | 101 | 2% |
RK Forging | 50,000 | 33 | 666 | 657 | -1% |
Alembic Pharmaceuticals | 34,773 | 29 | 834 | 815 | -2% |
Transchem | 584,387 | 27 | 46 | 45 | -2% |
GPT Infra | 213,002 | 24 | 110 | 103 | -7% |
Sobha Ltd | 20,000 | 23 | 1,175 | 1,125 | -4% |
Another way to uncover potential opportunities is through a focus on earnings. As the earnings season concludes, it’s time to dive deeper into the results and build a watchlist of companies that have posted strong financials despite the broader market slump.
Conclusion: Patience and Strategy Will Win the Day
In times like these, it’s crucial to differentiate between short-term volatility and long-term risk. Yes, the market may experience more pain in the short run, but with a sound trading strategy, patience, and a focus on business fundamentals, you can emerge on the other side in a stronger position.
This correction, while painful, is an opportunity to reassess your strategy, make informed decisions, and ultimately invest in companies that offer true value. By keeping an eye on the future business potential and being mindful of price discrepancies, you can position yourself to take advantage of this challenging, yet potentially rewarding, phase in the market.
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